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Safety Boundaries

Purpose

Geopolitical Intelligence Analyst Copilot provides historical analog decision-support for geopolitical risk analysis. It is not a forecasting product and not an investment advisory tool.

Explicit Non-Goals

  • No forecasts
  • No return predictions
  • No investment advice
  • No trading signals
  • No probability estimates
  • No live news retrieval in V0.1
  • No external APIs in V0.1
  • No LLM calls in V0.1

Output Interpretation

Historical analogs are context for structured analysis. Similarity scores rank the closeness of historical events in the local database. They do not represent likelihood, confidence, expected return, or market direction.

Market reaction summaries report observed historical event-study windows only. They should not be used to infer future price moves.

Scenario pathways are qualitative monitoring frames. They describe possible analytical branches and uncertainties, not predicted outcomes.

Prohibited Language In Generated Briefs

Generated briefs should avoid:

  • recommendations to buy, sell, or hold securities
  • price targets
  • expected return claims
  • likelihood percentages
  • claims that one future pathway will occur
  • portfolio allocation advice

Appropriate Use

Appropriate use cases include:

  • research review
  • executive risk brief preparation
  • historical analog comparison
  • scenario planning discussion
  • analyst workflow automation
  • methodology demonstration

The output should always be reviewed by a human analyst before operational use.