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Technological competition has never been linear. Real-world technological evolution is a complex system driven by multiple forces:
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***Drivers**: Capability enhancement, cost curves, migration friction, organizational inertia, capital flow, ecosystem lock-in, standard promotion, developer behavior.
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***Impacts**: Markets often do not change smoothly; instead, they undergo **accelerated substitution**, **structural reorganization**, or fall into a stalemate of **long-term coexistence** near certain thresholds.
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Omen attempts to upgrade this process from *opinion discussion* to **conditional reasoning**:
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1. Map technological competition into a **Capability Space**
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2. Instantiate market entities as **Strategic Actors**
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3. Quantify external shocks as **Injectable Events**
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4. Present results as **Multi-path Evolution** and **Counterfactual Explanations**
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### What Omen Does
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## 💡 What Omen Does
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Unlike traditional predictive models, Omen does not promise to *predict a certain future*. Instead, it generates **interpretable, replayable, and comparable future branching paths**. Its core responsibility is to reveal faint omens, critical branching points, and evolutionary trajectories within complex systems, empowering founders, product strategists, technology leaders, and investment analysts to understand:
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@@ -31,26 +19,6 @@ Unlike traditional predictive models, Omen does not promise to *predict a certai
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* 🏆 **Strategy Wins**: Which strategy combinations are more likely to win the market, capital, and developer ecosystem?
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* ⏳ **Time Windows**: When is the optimal timing for in-house development, alliances, M&A, or contraction?
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## 📜 Philosophy & Design Principles
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> 💡 **Core Mantra**: *The machine simulates the "Situation"; the human decides the "Destiny".*
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Just as **Yao** in the *I Ching* represents change and interaction, Omen is designed only to present the evolution of the **Situation (Xiang)**. Interpreting the deeper meaning behind the situation and making decisions is the exclusive privilege of human wisdom.
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Accordingly, Omen is architected as a **human-decision-first** AI simulator, with a clear division of labor between machine simulation and human sovereignty:
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#### 🤖 The Machine’s Domain (Simulation & Causality)
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***Role**: To compute complexity, map multi-path evolutions, and reveal conditional causal chains.
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***Output**: Interpretable scenarios, probability distributions, and "What-if" branching maps.
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***Constraint**: It strictly avoids deterministic fate pronouncements or claims of "guaranteed accuracy".
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#### 🧠 The Human’s Domain (Interpretation & Sovereignty)
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***Role**: To interpret the "Situation" (Xiang), apply ethical judgment, and make the final strategic call.
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***Privilege**: Deciding *which* path to take based on values, risk appetite, and vision remains the exclusive privilege of human leaders.
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***Synergy**: Omen expands the horizon of visible possibilities; humans provide the compass for navigation.
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📜 See [Omen Project Protocol](PROTOCOL.md) to get detailed guidelines.
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## ⚙️ Core Features
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| Feature Module | Description |
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***Strategy Effectiveness?** Under what circumstances is an "open ecosystem" superior to "vertical integration"?
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***Endgame Form?** Does it move towards monopoly, oligarchic balance, or fragmented coexistence?
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## 🛠️ How It Works
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Omen adopts a layered architecture to ensure the transparency and intervenability of reasoning:
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```mermaid
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graph TD
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A[Signal Layer] -->|Tech/Market/Capital/Standard Signals | B(Tech Space Layer)
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B -->|Capability Dimensions/Substitution Relations/Risk Factors | C(Strategic Actor Layer)
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C -->|Goals/Resources/Action Space | D(Simulation Kernel)
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D -->|Rules+Math Models+LLM Decisions | E(Explanation Layer)
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E -->|Branching Paths/Counterfactuals/Causal Chains | F[User Insights]
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style A fill:#f9f,stroke:#333,stroke-width:2px
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style D fill:#bbf,stroke:#333,stroke-width:2px
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style E fill:#bfb,stroke:#333,stroke-width:2px
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```
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***Signal Layer**: Accesses multi-dimensional macro and micro signals.
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***Tech Space Layer**: Transforms signals into structured technical objects and relationship graphs.
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***Strategic Actor Layer**: Defines clear Action Spaces for various entities, rather than free-form chatting.
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***Simulation Kernel**: Combines hard constraint rules, economic/diffusion models, and LLM decision logic to advance multi-round evolution.
*[🗺️ Ontology Games: Database vs AI Memory](cases/ontology.md)
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*[⚔️ Vector Database vs AI Memory](cases/vector-memory.md)
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More scenarios are under development (contributions welcome):
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*`Agent Infrastructure` vs `Workflow Platforms`
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*`Vertical AI` vs `General AI Stack`
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*`Open Source Models` vs `Closed Commercial APIs`
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*`Data Governance` vs `AI-Native Knowledge Systems`
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## 🚀 Quick Start
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### Installation
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* Open Source Ecosystem Observers
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* Investors & Industry Analysts
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## 🎬 Show Cases
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We have built-in classic reasoning:
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*[🗺️ Ontology Games: Database vs AI Memory](cases/ontology.md)
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*[⚔️ Vector Database vs AI Memory](cases/vector-memory.md)
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More scenarios are under development (contributions welcome):
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*`Agent Infrastructure` vs `Workflow Platforms`
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*`Vertical AI` vs `General AI Stack`
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*`Open Source Models` vs `Closed Commercial APIs`
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*`Data Governance` vs `AI-Native Knowledge Systems`
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## 📦 License
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Omen is under [AGPL-3.0-or-later](LICENSE), the project is developed and maintained by **[StrategyLogic®](https://www.strategylogic.ai)**.
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Omen is under [AGPL-3.0-or-later](LICENSE), the project is developed and maintained by **[StrategyLogic](https://www.strategylogic.ai)** ®.
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*Note: If you wish to use Omen in a closed-source environment or provide it as a SaaS service without open-sourcing your code, please contact us for a commercial license.*
> 💡 **Core Mantra**: *The machine simulates the "Situation"; the human decides the "Destiny".*
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Just as **Yao** in the *I Ching* represents change and interaction, Omen is designed only to present the evolution of the **Situation (Xiang)**. Interpreting the deeper meaning behind the situation and making decisions is the exclusive privilege of human wisdom.
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+
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Accordingly, Omen is architected as a **human-decision-first** AI simulator, with a clear division of labor between machine simulation and human sovereignty:
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#### 🤖 The Machine’s Domain (Simulation & Causality)
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***Role**: To compute complexity, map multi-path evolutions, and reveal conditional causal chains.
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***Output**: Interpretable scenarios, probability distributions, and "What-if" branching maps.
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***Constraint**: It strictly avoids deterministic fate pronouncements or claims of "guaranteed accuracy".
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#### 🧠 The Human’s Domain (Interpretation & Sovereignty)
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***Role**: To interpret the "Situation" (Xiang), apply ethical judgment, and make the final strategic call.
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***Privilege**: Deciding *which* path to take based on values, risk appetite, and vision remains the exclusive privilege of human leaders.
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+
***Synergy**: Omen expands the horizon of visible possibilities; humans provide the compass for navigation.
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+
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📜 See [Omen Project Protocol](../PROTOCOL.md) to get detailed guidelines.
Technological competition has never been linear. Real-world technological evolution is a complex system driven by multiple forces:
4
+
***Drivers**: Capability enhancement, cost curves, migration friction, organizational inertia, capital flow, ecosystem lock-in, standard promotion, developer behavior.
5
+
***Impacts**: Markets often do not change smoothly; instead, they undergo **accelerated substitution**, **structural reorganization**, or fall into a stalemate of **long-term coexistence** near certain thresholds.
6
+
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+
Omen attempts to upgrade this process from *opinion discussion* to **conditional reasoning**:
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+
1. Map technological competition into a **Capability Space**
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+
2. Instantiate market entities as **Strategic Actors**
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+
3. Quantify external shocks as **Injectable Events**
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+
4. Present results as **Multi-path Evolution** and **Counterfactual Explanations**
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